PAG METER PREDICTIONS FOR CHAMPIONSHIP FOOTBALL FRIDAY 2018
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PAG METER PREDICTIONS FOR CHAMPIONSHIP FRIDAY
If it rains then the running teams like Righetti High, Golden West and Kennedy have a much better chance.
The Pag Meter went 9-2 in the Semifinals and for the year 507-95 (84%)
The Pag Meter blew the Caruthers pick vs Kennedy and thought Buchanan would beat Liberty. The Bears didn’t use their speedy weapons on offense and I’m thinking the Patriots are very thankful.
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No 3 LIBERTY PATRIOTS (12-2) at CENTRAL GRIZZLIES (13-0)
Pag Meter Line Central -14
These have been the two best teams all year long. This is the great matchup of the power running attack of the Patriots vs the team speed of the Grizzlies.
VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY
For the Liberty Patriots they beat the Clovis Cougars 56-21 in 2015 to win their first valley championship in school history. The Patriots won the Division 3 section championship in 2001 beating the Clovis East Timberwolves 25-13.
Last year the Grizzlies won their first valley championship in school history beating Buchanan 29-7.
The Patriots beat the Buchanan Bears 24-23. Brayden Blevins kicked the game winning 26-yard field goal with no time left in the game. Sammy Stewart Jr with a big night rushing for 233 yards on 37 carries, scored 2 TD’s.
The Grizzlies beat the Bakersfield Drillers 46-34. Trent Tompkins went 18-28 for 318 yards, with 4 TD passes and scored on 20 and 30 yard TD runs. Quali Conley caught 2 big TD passes along with Jeremiah Hunter who caught a 67- yard TD pass in the 4th quarter. Conley also rushed for 117 yards and scored on a 28 yard TD run.
The Patriots beat up the Bears with Sammy Stewart and the Bears had no answers on defense. The Bears had the three of most dangerous players in the valley with the football in their hands but the Bears decided not to use Jalen Cropper and Brock Jones. MAKES NO SENSE and the Patriots took advantage of it.
The big difference between the Bears and the Grizzlies, the Grizzlies head coach Kyle Biggs will definitely uses all his best athletes at every turn.
THE X FACTOR
Can the Grizzlies slow down the power of Sammy Stewart? SAMMY HAD CRAMPS and had the leave early. Sammy comes in as the No 5 best running back in the section for yards with 1,873 yards and has scored 20 TD’s. Clovis East RB Ryan Hunt ran all over the Grizzlies with a 278 yard night and you just know the Patriots will pound the football. The Patriots also have QB Hector Gonzalez who has thrown for 1,718 yards, with 18 TD passes and will have to play a great game with play action passing. Hector is a timid runner and doesn’t like to run but he might have to take off in this game.
The Patriots shut out the Drillers 7-0 in week 11 because the front seven of the Patriots stuffed the line of scrimmage. The Drillers are not a throwing team and the Grizzlies are.
Now the other big matchup is the Patriots defense vs the best QB in the section with Trent Tompkins who has thrown for 4,080 yards and a Central Section record 55 TD passes. Trent is 299 yards away from breaking the record in the Central Section for the most passing yards in a season. Trent is also 3rd all time in central section history for passing yards with 10,822 yards.
Can the Patriots secondary matchup with Jeremiah Hunter, Quali Conley and company? THEY DID NOT. The Patriots have to put pressure on Trent or he will pick the Patriots apart. The Patriots have to slow the game down on offense with long drives. The Grizzlies are a 2nd half team and a horrible first half team.
If Trent Tompkins gets hot early…….Game over because we all know Trent will go off in the 2nd half. THE 2ND HALF SCORE WAS 33-7!
The Patriots are hoping for rain because rain changes everything! Will the Patriots cover the spread of 14?
Pag Meter Prediction Central 33 Liberty 23
FINAL CENTRAL GRIZZLIES 58 LIBERTY PATRIOTS 34
Central 6 19 19 14 – 58
Liberty 7 20 7 0 – 34
C – Quali Conley 9-yard run (kick fail)
L – Sammy Stewart 25-yard run (Blevins kick)
L – Brayden Blevins 24 field goal
C – Jeremiah Hunter Hunter 17-yard pass from Trent Tompkins (Juan Cuevas kick)
L – Dylan Holmes 1-yard run (Blevins kick)
L – Ramon Henderson 28-yard pass from Hector Gonzalez (Juan Blevins kick)
C – Jakob Jones 2-yard run (kick fail)
L – Brayden Blevins 24-yard field goal
C – Quali Conley 14-yard pass from Trent Tompkins (pass failed)
L – Haden Mann 29-yard pass from Hector Gonzalez (Blevins kick)
C – Quali Conley 2-yard run (pass fail)
C – Quali Conley 1-yard run (Cuevas kick)
C – Manuel Oliver-Davis 17-yard pass from Trent Tompkins (run fail)
C – Manuel Oliver-Davis 24-yard pass from Trent Tompkins (Juan Cuevas kick)
C- Manuel Oliver-Davis 50-yard pass from Trent Tompkins (Juan Cuevas kick)
RUSHING – Liberty: Sammy Stewart 23-98, Hector Gonzalez 5-5, Anthony Villanueva 7-16, Dylan Holmes 1-1, Ramon Henderson 1-7. Central: Trent Tompkins 10-17, Quali Conley 19-107, Tre Maxwell 7-23, Jakob Jones 1-2. Steven McDivitt 1-5
PASSING – Liberty: Hector Gonzalez 15-25-1-218. Central: Trent Tompkins 23-35-0-439.
RECEIVING – Liberty: Ramon Henderson 5-74, Hunter Riley 1-9, Sammy Stewart 3-44, Haden Mann 2-47. Central: Jeremiah Hunter 8-141, Quali Conley 5-73, Milton Clements 3-76, AJ Simpson 1-5, Manuel Oliver-Davis 3-91, Tre Maxwell 1-2.
No 3 RIGHETTI HIGH WARRIORS (10-3) at No 1 TULARE UNION TRIBE (13-0)
Pag Meter line Tulare Union -14
This is the matchup of the power running attack of the Warriors vs the passing attack of the Tribe.
VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY
This is the first year for the Righetti High Warriors playing in the Central Section.
Last year the Tulare Union Tribe beat Dinuba 49-21. Last year was the best Tribe team in school history! TU also won it in 2008, 2000 and 1999. Head coach Darren Bennett is now 4th all time in the Central Section with 210 wins in 29 plus years.
The Warriors beat Stockdale 21-0. The Mustangs defense played their best game of the year. Brandon Giddings threw 2 TD passes including a 30-yard TD to Chase Reynoso to start the scoring. Elijah Shuffield turned a short pass into a 39-yard touchdown. Adan Solis scored on a 2-yard TD run. Righetti racked up 257 yards on the ground and limited the Mustangs to just 71.
The Tribe beat Dinuba 44-37. The Tribe had one heck of a 4th quarter. David Dailey scored on a 4-yard TD and the game winner. Nate Lamb went 24-39 for 305 yards
This is a very interesting matchup with two different style of teams. Righetti runs a very good Pistol Wing-T offense and the Tribe will spread it out and throw it all over the year. The Tribe has not seen an offense like this since last year in the state playoffs when they got smoked by San Mateo 76-43. The Tribe last year was unstoppable with Kazmeir Allen running wild. This year’s Tribe team can’t run the football. QB Nate Lamb who has thrown for school records of 10,682 yards with 115 TD passes will have plenty of four and five receiver sets. Lamb knows how to get the ball to his outstanding receivers of Darius Baker (1,330 yards, 78 Receptions, 21 TD’s) and Willie James (1,162 yards, 79 Receptions, 13 TD’s) with screens and short passes.
THE X FACTOR
And it’s the same X factor every week vs the Tribe. Here we go again…….To beat the Tribe, defenses have to put pressure on Nate Lamb. It’s that simple. Dinuba did a pretty good job for a half and then they went away from it. EVERY team this year against the Tribe have decided to drop back in coverage and Lamb just sits back and plays catch with his receivers. Except for Dinuba, every team that Tulare played this year had a ZERO pass rush. If the Warriors can’t put pressure on Lamb……Game over. YEP ZERO PRESSURE
The Tribe is not a running team (THEY WERE THIS WEEK! DAVID DAILEY rushed for a career-high 208 yards) so the Warriors have to come after Lamb and if the pass is complete….have to make tackles on impact.
If the Warriors offense can pound the line of scrimmage and get a few picks, then the bus ride home will be fun. Righetti has rushed for 3,610 yards and leading the way is Adan Solis who has rushed for 1,704 yards and has scored 19 touchdowns.
Can the Warriors play on the fast field turf? If it rains then it could change everything!!
Pag Meter Prediction (UPSET SPECIAL) Righetti High 37 Tulare Union 33
FINAL TULARE UNION 45 RIGHETTI HIGH 30
WHAT WAS THE PAG METER THINKING ON THE UPSET PICK!
R 0 7 7 16 — 30
TU 9 8 21 7 — 45
TU — Ezekiel Sanchez 20-yard Field Goal
TU — Darius Baker 10-yard pass from Nate Lamb (kick failed)
TU — David Dailey 56-yard run (Dailey run)
R – Brandon Giddings 1-yard run (Myles Baro kick)
TU —Darius Baker 7-yard pass from Nate Lamb (kick failed)
TU — Julian Espinoza 9-yard pass from Nate Lamb (Willie James pass from Lamb)
R — Kidasi Nepa 48-yard run (Baro kick)
TU — Randy Jordan Jr. 9-yard pass from Nate Lamb (Sanchez kick)
R — Adan Solis 2-yard run (Nepa run)
TU — Darius Baker 27-yard pass from Nate Lamb (Sanchez kick)
R — Brandon Giddings 1-yard run (Nepa run)
Righetti: Adan Solis 24-78, Kidasi Nepa 6-76, Isaiah Gayfield 6-35, Andrew Martinez 1-0, Brandon Giddings 10-(minus) 14
Tulare Union: David Dailey 15-208, Donovan Smith 2-1, Nathan Lamb 5-(minus) 5
Righetti: Brandon Giddings 5-11-0 119
Tulare Union: Nate Lamb 24-37-1 288
Righetti: Jake Steels 2-78, Nepa 1-20, Chase Reynoso 1-15, Solis 1-6
Tulare Union: Darius Baker 7-115, Willie James 7-45, David Dailey 4-38, Randy Jordan Jr. 3-47, Julian Espinoza 3-43
No 2 BAKERSFIELD CHRISTIAN EAGLES (9-4) at MEMORIAL PANTHERS (13-0)
Pag Meter Line Memorial -21
VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY
This is a rematch from the last years semifinals and the Panthers rolled over the Eagles 49-7.
In 2016, Bakersfield Christian beat Tulare Western 53-19.
Memorial comes in as the defending division 3 champions beating Tulare Western Mustangs 45-31.
The Eagles beat Kingsburg Vikings 28-7. Jacob Maran went 15-26 for 251 yards and 3 TD passes. The Eagles defense is playing lights out when it counts.
The Panthers beat Mt Whitney 68-34. Alec Trujillo went 22-27 for 306 yards and 4 TD passes. Leonard Glass rushed for 172 yards and scored 3 TD’s. Jalen McMillan caught 6 passes for 101 yards,TD. Mac Dalena caught 8 passes, for 92 yards, TD. Josh Kelly caught 6 footballs for 81 yards and scored a TD.
In 2016 the Eagles were absolutely loaded and rolled over everybody and the won the division 3 title. This year Panthers are absolutely loaded and are rolling over everybody.
I would have love to see the 2016 Eagles team play this 2018 Panthers team.
The running backs are good with Eagles Donte Harris who has rushed for 1,063 yards, and has scored 14 TD’s vs Panthers Leonard Glass who has rushed for 747 yards, scored 13 TD’s along with and Atier Butler.
The Eagles have some very good receivers with Ben Yurosek, Alex Wallace, Keonte Glinton and Myran Randle.
The Panthers have Jalen McMillan (1,246 yards, 63 Receptions, 17 TD’s), Mac Dalena (902 yards, 46 receptions, 12 TD’s) and Josh Kelly (887 yards, 45 receptions, 8 TD’s)
THE X FACTOR
The big difference in this game is the Panthers QB Alec Trujillo, who has thrown for 3,483 yards, 39 TD’s. In his career, Alec is the 2nd all time leading passer in Central Section history with 10,914 yards. The Eagles QB is Jacob Maran who is playing his best football coming in but Alec Trujillo is at another level.
Pag Meter Prediction Memorial 42 Bakersfield Christian 21
On a State playoff note…If Memorial wins and Tulare Union wins, don’t be surprised if the CIF State matches up Memorial (North) vs Tulare Union (South) in the State playoffs?
FINAL MEMORIAL 48 BAKERSFIELD CHRISTIAN 7
Bakersfield Christian 7 0 0 0 — 7
Memorial 14 7 7 20 — 48
BC – Keonte Glinton 38-yard pass from Jacob Maran (Kyle Guillory kick)
SJM – Mac Dalena 31-yard pass from Alec Trujillo (Dalena kick)
SJM – TJ Hall 16-yard pass from Alec Trujillo (Dalena kick)
SJM – Josh Kelly 23-yard pass from Alec Trujillo (Dalena kick)
SJM – Leonard Glass 1-yard run (Dalena kick)
SJM – Josh Kelly 7-yard pass from Alec Trujillo (Delano kick)
SJM – Eric Hirata 2-yard run (Delano kick)
SJM – Josh Kelly 40-yard interception return
Bakersfield Christian- Jacob Maran 7-43, Donte Harris 3-17
Memorial: Leonard Glass 21-163, Eric Hirata 14-61, Alec Trujillo 5-45
Bakersfield Christian: Jacob Maran 12-25-2-176
Memorial: Alec Trujillo 16-23-1-160
Bakersfield Christian: Keonte Glinton 3-66, Ben Yurosek 2-42, Chris Gutierrez 1-35, Myran Randle 2-22, Donte Harris 2-11
Memorial: Josh Kelly 4-43, TJ Hall 3-40, Jalen McMillan 3-32, Mac Dalena 1-31, Eric Hirata 3-10, Leonard Glass 1-4
No 4 GOLDEN WEST TRAILBLAZERS (7-6) at No 2 CVC CAVALIERS (11-2)
Pag Meter Line CVC -10
VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY
The Blazers are the defending division 4 champions beating CVC in a great overtime game 27-21.
The Cavaliers beat the Tranquility Tigers 31-0 in 2005 to win the division 5 Section Championship
The Blazers beat Wasco 26-7. Christian Ortiz rushed for 197 yards on 27 carries and scored on a 52-yard TD run. Michael Wessel scored on 2 TD runs.
The Cavaliers beat Monache 61-14. Jaalen Rening rushed for 94 yards, scored 4 TD’s including a 94-yard interception return for a TD. Eric Dragt threw 2 TD passes Simon Tevelde.
Last year the Blazers were loaded with plenty of senior leaders. This year the Cavaliers are loaded with plenty of senior leaders and the Blazers are very young.
THE X FACTOR
CVC hasn’t seen this type of up-tempo Wing T offense and you can’t match it at practice. Are the Cavaliers ready for a battle upfront? Leading the way for the Cavaliers is one of the best defensive lineman in the state with Dirk Nelson. The Cavaliers also have the hottest running back going with Jaalen Rening. Renning has rushed for 1,216 yards and has scored 21 TD’s. QB Eric Dragt has thrown for 1,638 yards and 23 TD passes. His favorite receivers are Simon Tevelde and Brian Noel.
The Trailblazers have 5,067 yards of total offense and 4,064 of those yards coming on the ground. Senior Christian Ortiz has rushed for 1,401 yards and sophomore Lonnie Wessel, has rushed for 1,381 yards. Senior quarterback Tyson Sandri has thrown 1,003 yards with 5 touchdown passes. Senior receiver Josiah Washington leads the team with 4 touchdown receptions.
If GW can pound the ball with long drives, slow the game down and somehow contain Rening….we got a ball game.
The Cavaliers lately have been a early knockout team and GW has to get to the 2nd half with a lead. Can CVC get redemption from last years overtime loss?
If it rains….it favors the Blazers.
Pag Meter Prediction CVC 32 Golden West 22
FINAL CVC 49 GOLDEN WEST 14
GW 0 7 7 0 — 14
CVC 7 14 7 21 — 49
CVC – Simon Tevelde 54-yard pass from Eric Dragt (Luke Altermatt kick)
CVC – Eric Dragt 6-yard pass from Tyce Griswold (Altermatt kick)
CVC – Jaalen Rening 59-yard pass from Dragt (Altermatt kick), 7:56
GW – Lonnie Wessel 1-yard run (Alberto Nunez kick)
GW – Christian Ortiz 1-yard run (Nunez kick)
CVC – Dustin Van grouw 24-yard pass from Eric Dragt (Altermatt kick)
CVC – Eric Dragt 21-yard run (Altermatt kick)
CVC – Brian Noel 8-yard pass from Eric Dragt (Altermatt kick)
CVC – Seth Stoneroad 39-yard run (Althermatt kick)
Golden West: Jose Ramos 2-11, Michael Wessel 15-80, Lonnie Wessel 13-67, Christian Ortiz 22-127, Tyson Sandri 2-(minus) 2, Josiah Washington 1-(minus) 1
CVC: Jaalen Rening 17-131, Eric Dragt 6-49, Spencer Morris 1-5, Seth Stoneroad 4-49
Golden West: Tyson Sandri 3-7-0 38
CVC: Eric Dragt 13-16-0 230, Tyce Griswold 1-1-0 6
Golden West: Josiah Washington 1-17, Michael Wessel 1-9, Christian Ortiz 1-12
CVC: Brian Noel 3-19, Simon Tevelde 2-67, Jaalen Rening 5-97, Eric Dragt 1-6, Bradin Chea 2-23, Dustin Van grouw 1-24
No 3 KENNEDY THUNDERBIRDS (13-1) at No 1 SHAFTER GENERALS (12-1)
Pag Meter Line Shafter -13
This is a rematch from Oct 19 when Shafter beat Kennedy 47-14. The score doesn’t tell the full story but Shafter did win.
VALLEY CHAMPIONSHIP HISTORY
The Thunderbirds won the division 6 championship back to back in 2014-15.
The Generals last won a section championship in 1955 winning the Sequoia division. If you are doing the math…that’s 63 years ago.
The Birds beat up Caruthers 73-19. Tyreak Walker rushed for 311 yards scored 5 TD’s and for the year he has rushed for 2004 yards. Yoncanni Sandoval rushed for 211 yards, scored 2 TD’s and for the year has rushed for 1,119 yards.
The Generals beat Woodlake 60-32. Alex Aguilar now has his 63rd total touchdown of the year. Aguilar finished with 349 total yards (192 rushing, 157 passing) with 4 rushing touchdowns and 2 passing touchdowns. Alex now has 7,971 yards passing in his 3 years as Shafter’s quarterback. He also has rushed for 3,396 yards
The Birds come in with Tyreak Walker has rushed for 2004 yards and will be the leading rusher in the Central Section after this game. Yoncanni Sandoval has rushed for 1,119 yards and has scored 18 TD’s. The Birds are all about the big guys upfront and leading the way is David Tamayo, Ivan Garza, and Fernando Herrera. They are averaging 361 rushing yards on the ground and hate to throw the football.
The Generals will lead with QB Alex Aguilar who is 2nd all time in Central Section history with 63 total TD’s. Mt Whitney QB Jaedyn Pineda broke Brandon Jones (Bakersfield Christian) record last week and finished with 64, (54 TD passes and scored 10 TD’s) Alex will break the record I’m sure early in the game.
THE X FACTOR
In the first meeting the Thunderbirds played a horrible game the Generals played the perfect game. There were 28 points that could have went either way. It went the Generals way but that’s football. Both teams have watched the Oct 19 game film 1000 times.
This games comes down to:
No 1, can the Birds play better against Aguilar and his RB Pedro Avila who has rushed for 1,287 yards and WR Jackson Sanchez who leads the team 74 receptions, 1,310 yards, 15 TD’s? THEY SURE DID!
No 2, Can the Birds not turn the ball over like on Oct 19 and work in long drives to keep the Generals offense off the field? YES THEY DID!
No 3, Can the Birds tackle better in this game? In the first meeting, that was the worse tackling performance I have seen all year long. YES THEY DID
No 4, can the Generals put the Birds in 3rd and long because Kennedy hates to throw it over hand.
This is the Generals best team in school history and full of senior leaders.
If the Birds can improve with 1, 2 and 3 …….they can win. If the Generals get to No 4 plenty of time then they will roll.
If it rains….the Birds have a much better chance.
Pag Meter Prediction Shafter 37 Kennedy 35
FINAL KENNEDY 30 SHAFTER 28
Kennedy – 7 17 6 0 – 30
Shafter – 0 7 13 8 – 28
K – Tyreak Walker 48-yard run (Jesse Fiero kick)
K – Tyreak Walker 34-yard run (Fiero kick)
K – Yoncanni Sandoval 76-yard run (Fiero kick)
S – Jackson Sanchez 6-yard pass from Alex Aguilar (Valencia kick)
K – Jesse Fiero 32-yard field goal
S – Marco Rodriguez 46-yard pass from Alex Aguilar (Kick fail)
K – Yoncanni Sandoval 71-yard pass from Jose Cota (Kick kick)
S – Jackson Sanchez 90-yard fumble return (Rodriguez kick)
S – Marco Rodriguez 1-yard pass from Alex Aguilar (Aguilar run)
Kennedy: Jose Cota 9-62, Tyreak Walker 31-203, Yoncanni Sandoval 10-141, Francisco Medina 4-10, Jonathan Carillo 1-1
Shafter: Pedro Avila 24-113, Alex Aguilar 7-15, Nelson Hernandez 2-0
Kennedy: Jose Cota 4-8-1-130
Shafter : Alex Aguilar 17-35-1-220
Kennedy: Yoncanni Sandoval 2-90, Jonathan Carillo 2-40
Shafter: Felix Chacon 3-77, Nelson Rodriguez 6-84, Issac Enriquez 5-29, Jackson Sanchez 2-15, Pedro Avila 1-9